Beneath the U.N. settlement lies a darker reality, Osaka mentioned. No fossil gas firm or nation has an actual plan for phasing out fossil fuels. Quite the opposite, virtually all anticipate to proceed extracting coal, oil and fuel far into the longer term and much past what is required to chop emissions sufficient to fulfill established local weather targets. A part of the reason being that just about each nation and firm sees itself in a novel place — the longer term final producer of fossil fuels.

“Each nation has their very own cause why they need to be the final,” mentioned Michael Lazarus, a senior scientist on the Stockholm Atmosphere Institute and one of many authors of the Manufacturing Hole Report, which analyzed the plans nations have for fossil gas growth. That report exhibits that every one the world’s nations plan to provide twice as a lot fossil gas as could be in keeping with holding international common temperatures to not more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial ranges.

The report analyzed fossil gas manufacturing estimates from the governments of 20 massive fossil gas producing nations, together with the US, Russia, Mexico, and the United Arab Emirates. By 2050, the hole is projected to be even bigger. These nations anticipate to provide 2½ occasions extra fossil gas in 2050 than would align with a goal of two°C. Make no mistake, at 2°C, the Earth is effectively on its option to changing into a baked potato the place few people can survive.

“It’s an entire disconnect between what governments are planning for and what’s required to fulfill Paris targets,” mentioned Greg Muttitt, a senior affiliate on the Worldwide Institute for Sustainable Growth. In different phrases, all the hoopla over the 28 local weather conferences up to now has had no discernible impact on the fossil gas business.

The Takeaway

One billion {dollars} to repair the local weather disaster? Are they critical? That’s about one one-millionth of what is going to be wanted to repair the mess we now have made for ourselves. Right here at CleanTechnica, we’re virtually embarrassed to maintain reporting  on these annual conferences, which at all times promise actual outcomes however by no means ship on these guarantees. It’s a little bit like watching Charlie Brown making an attempt to kick the soccer. Will COP29 in Azerbaijan be any completely different? Don’t maintain your breath.